Uruguay vs. Venezuela Tips and Odds – 10/06/2025

• Fixture: Uruguay vs Venezuela
• Date: Tuesday, 10 June 2025
• Venue: Estadio Centenario, Montevideo, Uruguay

Match Preview

Uruguay and Venezuela face off in a crucial CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier at the iconic Estadio Centenario. With only three points separating the teams in the standings—Uruguay sitting 5th and Venezuela 7th—this match could have major implications for both sides’ hopes of securing a direct ticket to the 2026 World Cup. The hosts are desperate to snap a four-game winless streak in qualifiers, while Venezuela are buoyed by back-to-back victories and a real shot at climbing into the top six.

Uruguay enter the fixture under pressure after a 2-0 defeat away to Paraguay, extending their winless run to four matches in the qualification campaign. Marcelo Bielsa’s men have struggled for goals and creativity, a problem exacerbated by the absence of midfield dynamo Federico Valverde, who is sidelined with lumbosciatica and will miss this high-stakes clash. The Sky Blue’s last home outing was a goalless draw against Ecuador, and they have managed just two goals in their last four qualifiers. Their defense, however, remains relatively solid, anchored by José Giménez and Ronald Araújo.

Venezuela, on the other hand, arrive in Montevideo with momentum. La Vinotinto have recorded consecutive wins over Peru (1-0) and Bolivia (2-0), results that have reignited their qualification campaign and lifted spirits in the camp. However, their defense is stretched thin: key left-back Miguel Navarro and center-back Yordan Osorio are out injured, while Wilker Ángel and John Aramburu are suspended, forcing coach Fernando Batista to reshuffle his back line. Despite these setbacks, Venezuela’s attack, led by veteran Salomón Rondón and the in-form Josef Martínez, has shown signs of life, especially on the counter.

Recent head-to-head encounters suggest a tight affair: three of the last four meetings have ended in draws, including a 0-0 stalemate in the reverse fixture. Uruguay have historically dominated this fixture at home, but Venezuela’s improved form and Uruguay’s attacking woes hint at a potentially cagey and nervy contest. Both teams have scored in each of Venezuela’s last four away qualifiers, and Uruguay have conceded in four of their last five matches.

Key Players

Uruguay:

• Darwin Núñez: The Liverpool striker is expected to lead the line and will be vital in breaking down Venezuela’s makeshift defense.
• Manuel Ugarte: The combative midfielder will be tasked with controlling the tempo and disrupting Venezuela’s transitions. He’s also a card risk, having accumulated three yellows in the campaign.
• Ronald Araújo & José Giménez: Their partnership at the back will be crucial in containing Rondón and Martínez.

Venezuela:

• Salomón Rondón: The experienced forward remains Venezuela’s main goal threat and recently found the net against Bolivia.
• Josef Martínez: His pace and movement could trouble Uruguay’s defense, especially on the break.
• Yeferson Soteldo: The creative midfielder will be key to unlocking Uruguay’s back line, particularly with so many defensive absences.

Prediction

Given Uruguay’s home advantage and Venezuela’s depleted defense, the Sky Blue are favorites to edge a low-scoring contest. However, their recent struggles in attack and Venezuela’s resilience suggest it could be closer than the odds imply. Expect Uruguay to narrowly prevail, but don’t rule out both teams getting on the scoresheet in a tense, tactical battle.

Predicted Score: Uruguay 2-1 Venezuela

Betting Markets & Odds

Uruguay are clear favorites but will need to overcome recent form and the absence of Valverde, while Venezuela’s defensive crisis could open the door for a narrow home win. Expect a tense, hard-fought match with opportunities for both teams to make their mark.