
- Fixture: FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart
- Date: Saturday, 3 May 2025
- Venue: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany
Match Preview
With only three rounds left in the Bundesliga season, FC St. Pauli and VfB Stuttgart face off at the Millerntor-Stadion in a match that could prove decisive for both clubs’ ambitions. St. Pauli, currently 14th, are now safe from relegation, while Stuttgart, in 11th, are hoping to finish in the top half after a rollercoaster campaign. The stakes are high, and the atmosphere in Hamburg is set to be electric as both teams look to end the season on a positive note.
St. Pauli come into this fixture on a run of solid but unspectacular form. They are unbeaten in their last three matches, including a gritty 0-0 draw with Werder Bremen and a 1-1 draw against high-flying Bayer Leverkusen. However, their home record has been underwhelming, with just one win from their last six at the Millerntor, alongside three draws and two losses. Goals have been hard to come by, with only four scored and six conceded in that stretch. Injuries have also hit hard: key striker Morgan Guilavogui, joint-top scorer with seven goals, is sidelined with a foot fracture, and right-back Manolis Saliakas is also out, leaving St. Pauli short on both ends of the pitch.
Stuttgart’s season has been a tale of two halves. After a sluggish start, they found red-hot form at the start of 2025, going unbeaten and surging up the table with a string of wins and a strong Champions League campaign. However, their recent Bundesliga form has dipped: they lost 1-2 to Werder Bremen, drew a wild 4-4 with Union Berlin, and suffered a 0-1 defeat to Heidenheim. On the road, Stuttgart have won two, drawn three, and lost one of their last six, scoring 13 and conceding nine. Their attacking threat remains potent, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points.
The last meeting between these sides saw St. Pauli claim a memorable 1-0 away win in December, with Stuttgart missing several chances and St. Pauli’s defense standing firm. That result will give the hosts confidence, but Stuttgart’s overall squad depth and attacking options suggest they will be eager for revenge. Expect a fast-paced, open game with both teams pushing for a crucial victory.
Key Players
- Johannes Eggestein (St. Pauli): Now the main attacking outlet with Guilavogui injured, Eggestein leads the team with seven goals and will be relied upon for finishing and link-up play.
- Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli): With four goals this season, Afolayan’s pace and direct style are vital, especially on the counterattack in a side missing its top scorer.
- Nikola Vasilj (St. Pauli): The experienced goalkeeper has been key in tight matches, with several clean sheets and important saves in recent draws.
- Chris Führich (Stuttgart): A creative winger, Führich is central to Stuttgart’s attacking play, adept at beating defenders and delivering key passes.
- Nick Woltemade (Stuttgart): In good form and a constant threat in the box, Woltemade’s movement and finishing could be decisive for the visitors.
Prediction
This match is finely balanced. St. Pauli’s recent resilience and home support could see them frustrate Stuttgart, but the absence of Guilavogui is a major blow to their attacking threat. Stuttgart’s away form has been inconsistent, but their superior firepower and creativity in midfield give them a slight edge. Expect both teams to find the net, but a draw remains the likeliest outcome as neither side has shown the consistency needed to pull away.
Predicted score: St. Pauli 1-1 Stuttgart
Betting Markets & Odds
Market | Selection | Odds | Bet Now |
---|---|---|---|
Match Result | Draw | 12/5 | Bet Now |
Both Teams to Score | Yes | 4/7 | Bet Now |
Over 2.5 Goals | No | 11/10 | Bet Now |
First Goalscorer | Woltemade (Stuttgart) | 6/1 | Bet Now |
Anytime Goalscorer | Eggestein (St. Pauli) | 2/1 | Bet Now |
Odds are indicative and may vary. Enjoy the match and bet responsibly!