Spain vs. France Tips and Odds – 05/06/2025

• Fixture: Spain vs France (UEFA Nations League Semi-final)
• Date: Thursday, 5 June 2025
• Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart, Germany

Match Preview

The UEFA Nations League semi-final between Spain and France promises to be a classic, pitting two of Europe’s most decorated footballing nations against each other on neutral ground in Stuttgart. Both teams arrive in Germany with recent silverware and a point to prove: Spain are the defending Nations League champions and fresh off their Euro 2024 triumph, while France are eager to reclaim continental dominance after a turbulent year that saw them knocked out of the Euros by La Roja themselves.

Spain’s recent form has been impressive, underlining their status as one of the world’s most consistent international sides. They are unbeaten in their last nine Nations League matches outside of Spain (five wins, four draws) and have built a reputation for resilience and tactical flexibility under Luis de la Fuente. Their run to this semi-final included overcoming Portugal in the quarters, and their squad blends youthful exuberance with experienced heads. However, the Spanish camp is not without concerns: star midfielder Pedri remains sidelined with a serious knee injury, and captain Álvaro Morata’s fitness is in question after a freak incident during Euro 2024 celebrations.

France, meanwhile, have had a rollercoaster journey to Stuttgart. After an initial setback in the group phase, Les Bleus bounced back with three straight wins, including two over Belgium, and sealed their semi-final spot with a dramatic penalty shootout win against Croatia in the quarter-finals. Didier Deschamps’ side is brimming with attacking talent but has been hit by defensive injuries: Upamecano, Saliba, Koundé, and Camavinga are all unavailable, forcing Deschamps to reshuffle his back line. The return of Lucas Hernandez is a timely boost, while the inclusion of Lyon’s Rayan Cherki adds creative flair to the midfield.

Both teams’ most recent results highlight their strengths and vulnerabilities. Spain’s penalty shootout win over Portugal showcased their nerve, while France’s ability to recover from a two-goal deficit against Croatia underlines their fighting spirit. The tactical battle will be fascinating: Spain’s patient possession play and wide threats in Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams will test France’s makeshift defense, while France’s pace on the counter, led by Kylian Mbappé, could exploit any Spanish lapses.

Key Players to Watch

• Spain:
  • Lamine Yamal: The Barcelona prodigy has emerged as a world-class winger, scoring a memorable goal against France at Euro 2024 and continuing to impress at club level.
  • Nico Williams: His direct running and creativity on the opposite flank complement Yamal perfectly.
  • Fabián Ruiz: The PSG midfielder is central to Spain’s control in midfield.
  • Álvaro Morata: If fit, his movement and experience will be crucial up front.
• France:
  • Kylian Mbappé: The Real Madrid superstar remains France’s most potent weapon, capable of turning a game in an instant.
  • Aurélien Tchouaméni: The Real Madrid midfielder anchors the team and dictates tempo.
  • Marcus Thuram: Offers physicality and finishing power up front.
  • Lucas Hernandez: His return adds steel and experience to a depleted defense.

Prediction

Given the injuries and suspensions on both sides, this match is finely balanced. Spain’s cohesion and recent big-match experience give them a slight edge, especially if Morata is fit to lead the line. However, France’s attacking firepower and ability to rise to the occasion under Deschamps mean they are never out of contention. Expect a tactical chess match, with Spain controlling possession but France always threatening on the break. Extra time or even penalties could be needed to separate these giants, but Spain’s recent record in knockout football tips the scales in their favor.

Predicted score: Spain 2-1 France (after extra time)

Betting Markets & Odds

Odds are approximate and may vary; always check the latest odds before placing your bet.

Get ready for a thrilling night in Stuttgart as Spain and France battle for a place in the UEFA Nations League final!