Sevilla vs. Leganes Tips and Odds – 04/05/2025

• Fixture: Sevilla vs Leganés
• Date: Sunday, 4 May 2025
• Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville, Spain

Match Preview

Sevilla host Leganés at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in a crucial La Liga clash as both sides battle to avoid relegation. Sevilla, currently 15th, are enduring a torrid spell, winless in their last six games with five defeats and a draw, and have only managed one victory in their previous nine league matches. Their home form is particularly worrying: they haven’t won at home in seven straight rounds and have scored more than once at home just once in their last 18 outings. The Andalusians’ struggles in attack are evident, having netted only 35 goals all season, with just 14 coming at home.

Leganés, sitting 19th and deep in the relegation zone, are also in poor form. They are winless in their last seven matches, with three draws and four defeats, and salvaged a late point against Girona in their previous outing. Their away record is bleak, with no wins in their last seven on the road and just 13 goals scored away from home all season. Leganés have one of the weakest attacks in La Liga, and have only managed to score more than once in one of their last nine away games.

The reverse fixture saw Leganés edge Sevilla 1-0, and recent head-to-heads suggest tight, low-scoring affairs: both teams have not scored in any of the last five meetings, and only two of those saw over 2.5 goals. Both teams are desperate for points, with Sevilla just five points above the drop and Leganés four points from safety, raising the stakes for this encounter.

In terms of team news, Sevilla are likely to line up with Orjan Nyland in goal and a backline featuring Kike Salas, Jose Carmona, Loic Bade, and Adria Pedrosa. The midfield could see Lucien Agoume, Saul Niguez, Djibril Sow, and Juanlu Sanchez, with Dodi Lukebakio leading the attack. Leganés are expected to start Marko Dmitrovic in goal, with a defense of Julian Chicco, Valentin Rosier, Javi Hernandez Carrera, Sergio Gonzalez, and Jorge Saenz. The midfield may include Juan Cruz, Oscar Rodriguez, and Renato Tapia, supporting forwards Dani Raba and Yan Diomande. There are no major new injury or suspension concerns reported for either side.

Key Players

Sevilla

• Dodi Lukebakio: Lukebakio has been Sevilla’s main attacking outlet this season, scoring 11 goals and providing 4 assists, ranking among the top offensive players in La Liga for shots on goal and consistently posing a threat with his direct style of play.
• Saul Niguez: Saul brings vital experience and composure to Sevilla’s midfield, often dictating the tempo and contributing defensively with strong tackling and ball recoveries, while also maintaining an impressive pass completion rate of 81% this campaign.
• Loic Bade: Bade anchors Sevilla’s defense with his physical presence and reliability, having started nearly every league match, and is known for his aerial strength and ability to read the game, making him a key figure at the back.

Leganés

• Dani Raba: Raba is Leganés’ creative spark, frequently involved in their attacking moves with an average of over 12 shots per 90 minutes, and his ability to find space and take on defenders makes him a constant threat in the final third4.
• Oscar Rodriguez: Oscar is pivotal for Leganés in midfield, orchestrating play and providing crucial passes that can unlock defenses, especially in tight matches where creativity is at a premium.
• Marko Dmitrovic: Dmitrovic offers experience and leadership between the posts, often keeping Leganés in games with important saves and organizing the defense during high-pressure moments.

Prediction

Given both teams’ poor form and lack of attacking firepower, this match is likely to be a tense, low-scoring affair. Sevilla’s home struggles and Leganés’ away woes suggest a draw or a narrow home win. The most probable outcome is a Sevilla victory by a single goal, but a 1-1 draw cannot be ruled out. Expect under 2.5 goals and possibly both teams not to score.

Betting Markets

Sevilla are slight favorites, but with both sides struggling, goals are expected to be at a premium.