Monza vs. Atalanta Tips and Odds – 04/05/2025

• Fixture: Monza vs Atalanta (Serie A 2024/25, Matchday 35)
• Date: Sunday, 4 May 2025
• Venue: U-Power Stadium (Stadio Brianteo), Monza, Italy

Match Preview

Monza host Atalanta at the U-Power Stadium in what looks set to be a one-sided Serie A encounter. Monza, already relegated, have endured a torrid campaign, sitting rock-bottom with just 15 points from 34 games. Their recent form is bleak: five straight defeats, a 14-match winless streak, and only two goals scored in their last six home matches. Alessandro Nesta’s side have the league’s second-worst attack (25 goals) and defense (69 conceded), highlighting the gulf in quality they face this weekend.

Atalanta, meanwhile, remain firmly in the hunt for Champions League qualification. Currently third in the table, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have been less prolific in recent rounds but still boast one of Serie A’s best attacks (67 goals) and defenses (37 conceded). Their away form is especially impressive, with more points collected on the road than any other side and just 11 goals conceded away from home – the best defensive record in the league.

Both teams come into this fixture after disappointing results. Monza were beaten 2-0 by Juventus last weekend, failing to capitalize on a numerical advantage after a first-half red card for their opponents. Atalanta, on the other hand, were held to a 1-1 draw by relegation-threatened Lecce, salvaging a point through a Mateo Retegui penalty. Despite a recent dip (winless in four of their last six), Atalanta’s overall quality and motivation to secure a top-four finish make them overwhelming favorites.

Injuries and suspensions further tilt the balance. Monza are missing a host of key players including Matteo Pessina, Armando Izzo, Danilo D’Ambrosio, Roberto Gagliardini, Silvere Ganvoula, Keita Baldé, Kevin Zeroli, and the suspended Andrea Carboni. Atalanta are without defensive options Stefan Posch, Sead Kolasinac, Giorgio Scalvini, and striker Gianluca Scamacca, but their squad depth should be sufficient to cope.

Key Players

• Gianluca Caprari is an experienced Italian forward known for his technical ability and creativity, often tasked with unlocking defenses for Monza.
• Dany Mota, a versatile Portuguese striker, brings pace and finishing to Monza’s attack and is capable of playing across the front line.
• Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro is a tireless Ivorian midfielder whose energy and defensive work rate provide crucial balance in Monza’s midfield.
• Mateo Retegui has been Atalanta’s standout striker this season, boasting an impressive goal tally and consistently leading the line with clinical finishing.
• Ademola Lookman, a dynamic Nigerian winger, offers Atalanta direct running and goal threat from wide positions, having already reached double figures in goals this campaign.
• Charles De Ketelaere is a tall, creative Belgian midfielder who excels at linking play and contributing both goals and assists for Atalanta.

Prediction

Given Monza’s dreadful form, injury crisis, and lack of motivation, it’s hard to see anything other than a comfortable Atalanta victory. The visitors’ solid defense and superior attack should ensure a routine win as they push for Champions League football. Expect a low-scoring affair if Atalanta control the tempo, but their quality should see them win by at least two goals.

Predicted score: Monza 0-3 Atalanta.

Betting Markets & Odds

Odds are approximate and may vary. Atalanta are overwhelming favorites, and a clean sheet for the visitors is highly likely.