Mallorca vs. Leganes Tips and Odds – 19/04/2025

• Fixture: Mallorca vs Leganés
• Date: Saturday, 19 April 2025
• Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma, Spain

Match Preview

Mallorca welcome Leganés to the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix for a crucial La Liga clash as both teams look to solidify their positions in the league. Mallorca, currently sitting mid-table with 43 points, have shown resilience throughout the season, balancing defensive solidity with timely attacking contributions. Leganés, on the other hand, are fighting to avoid the drop, languishing near the relegation zone with just 28 points. The stakes are high for both sides, with Mallorca aiming to finish the season strongly and Leganés desperate for points to climb out of danger.

Mallorca come into this fixture on the back of a confidence-boosting 2-0 away win over Real Sociedad, a result that snapped a brief two-game losing streak which included narrow defeats to Celta Vigo and Valencia. Their recent form at home has been steady, with only one loss in their last five matches at Son Moix. The team’s defensive organization has been a hallmark, conceding just 1.1 goals per game on average, and they have not lost at halftime in their last 13 home matches—a testament to their discipline and focus from the outset.

Leganés, meanwhile, are struggling for form, having lost four of their last six matches, including a narrow 1-0 defeat to Barcelona courtesy of an own goal. Their away record is particularly concerning, with just one win in their last 15 away games. Offensively, Leganés have found it difficult to break down organized defenses, averaging only one goal per game, and their defensive frailties have been exposed in high-scoring losses to Real Madrid and Real Betis. Despite their struggles, Leganés have shown flashes of resilience, managing draws against Osasuna and Alavés, but consistency has eluded them.

In terms of injuries, Mallorca are missing key players such as Roberto Navarro and Takuma Asano (both hamstring injuries), as well as Manuel Morlanes and Vedat Muriqi, which could impact their attacking options. However, Cyle Larin and Dani Rodríguez remain available and are expected to shoulder the goal-scoring burden. Leganés have not reported any major new injuries, but their squad depth will be tested as they look to halt their poor run of form.

Historically, Mallorca have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 67% of their last six encounters with Leganés and keeping clean sheets in their last three meetings. The match forecast suggests Mallorca will dominate aerially and are likely to score from set pieces, while Leganés’ defensive weaknesses could be exploited, especially in high-pressure moments.

Key Players

• Mallorca:
  • Cyle Larin: The team’s top scorer, crucial for converting chances.
  • Dani Rodríguez: Creative force with 7 assists this season.
  • Sergi Darder: Provides midfield stability and vision.
• Leganés:
  • Dani Raba: Brings experience and attacking flair.
  • Jorge Sáenz: Key defender, though recently scored an own goal.
  • Yvan Neyou: Midfield engine, vital for transitions.

Prediction

Given Mallorca’s strong home form, defensive discipline, and Leganés’ ongoing struggles, especially away from home, Mallorca are favorites to edge this contest. Expect a tight game with few goals, as both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently. A 1-0 win for Mallorca is the most likely outcome, with their set-piece prowess and aerial dominance likely to make the difference.

Betting Markets & Odds

Mallorca’s home advantage, recent form, and Leganés’ away woes make the hosts the smart pick, with a low-scoring affair expected.