Germany vs. Portugal Tips and Odds – 04/06/2025

• Fixture: Germany vs Portugal, UEFA Nations League Semi-Final
• Date: Wednesday, 4 June 2025
• Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich

Match Preview

Germany and Portugal are set to clash in a highly anticipated UEFA Nations League semi-final at Munich’s Allianz Arena on June 4th. Both teams arrive on the back of impressive runs in the competition, promising a contest packed with quality, tactical intrigue, and star power.

Germany, under Julian Nagelsmann, have been in formidable form since their Euro 2024 quarter-final exit. They have won four and drawn two of their six Nations League group games, before overcoming Italy in the last round, despite a nervy second-leg performance. The Germans boast a strong home record and a psychological edge, having beaten Portugal in each of their last five meetings since 2006, including a 4-2 win at Euro 2024. However, they will be without key attacker Kai Havertz due to a hamstring injury, and other absentees include Jamal Musiala and Nico Schlotterbeck. The squad still features returning stars like Marc-André ter Stegen, Florian Wirtz, Niclas Füllkrug, and Serge Gnabry, with Mainz striker Jonathan Burkardt—Bundesliga’s top-scoring German in 2024/25—expected to lead the line.

Portugal, managed by Roberto Martínez, have also shown resilience. After a disappointing Euro 2024 quarter-final exit, they bounced back with four wins and two draws in the Nations League group stage. In the quarter-finals, they overturned a 1-0 first-leg loss to Denmark with a resounding 5-2 victory at home. Cristiano Ronaldo, now 40, remains the focal point in attack, supported by talents like Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, and Rafael Leão. The squad is largely fit, with no major injury worries reported, and the Paris Saint-Germain trio—João Neves, Nuno Mendes, and Vitinha—are expected to feature despite a quick turnaround from club duties.

Recent results underline both teams’ strengths. Germany’s last competitive outings included a hard-fought aggregate win over Italy, while Portugal’s comeback against Denmark showcased their attacking prowess and depth. Both sides have averaged over two goals per game in recent internationals, suggesting an open and entertaining match is likely.

The tactical battle will be fascinating. Germany’s probable lineup features ter Stegen in goal, a back four led by captain Joshua Kimmich, and a dynamic midfield trio of Groß, Goretzka, and Wirtz, with Sané and Adeyemi providing width. Portugal are expected to line up with Diogo Costa in goal, a solid defense anchored by Rúben Dias, and a creative midfield supporting Ronaldo up front. The experience of both coaches—Nagelsmann’s tactical flexibility versus Martínez’s pragmatic approach—adds another layer of intrigue.

Key Players

• Germany:
  • Florian Wirtz: Creative spark, key for unlocking Portugal’s defense.
  • Jonathan Burkardt: Bundesliga’s top German scorer, expected to lead the attack.
  • Joshua Kimmich: Captain and defensive lynchpin, set for his 100th cap.
  • Leroy Sané: Provides pace and directness on the wing.
• Portugal:
  • Cristiano Ronaldo: Veteran striker, still decisive in big games.
  • Bernardo Silva: Orchestrator in midfield, vital for transitions.
  • Bruno Fernandes: Goal threat and creative force.
  • Rafael Leão: Adds pace and unpredictability on the flank.

Prediction

Germany’s home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and depth make them slight favorites, but Portugal’s blend of experience and attacking talent ensures this will be a close contest. Expect a high-tempo game with opportunities at both ends. Germany’s organization and the Allianz Arena crowd could tip the balance, but Portugal are more than capable of forcing extra time or even an upset.

Predicted Score: Germany 2-1 Portugal (after 90 minutes)

Betting Markets & Odds

Odds are indicative and may vary. Always check the latest odds before placing a bet.

This semi-final promises drama, goals, and a showcase of European football’s finest talents. Will Germany’s home advantage prevail, or can Ronaldo inspire Portugal to another final? All eyes on Munich!