Genoa vs. Atalanta Tips and Odds – 17/05/2025

• Fixture: Genoa vs Atalanta
• Date: Saturday, 17 May 2025
• Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Italy

Match Preview

This Serie A clash at the Luigi Ferraris sees mid-table Genoa host high-flying Atalanta in what promises to be a fascinating encounter with both teams looking to end their campaigns on a positive note. Genoa, currently 13th with 40 points, have endured a challenging season but have shown resilience at home, while Atalanta, sitting 3rd with 71 points, have secured their Champions League spot and are looking finish the season in style.

Genoa’s recent form has been patchy, with just one win in their last seven Serie A matches and a run of three losses in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw away at Napoli, showing some attacking promise but also highlighting defensive frailties. At home, Genoa have managed three wins in their last six, but their record against Atalanta is poor, with four losses in their last six head-to-head meetings, including a heavy 5-1 defeat earlier this season.

Atalanta, on the other hand, are finishing the season strongly. They have won four of their last five league matches, most recently edging Roma 2-1, and are unbeaten in their last ten Serie A games against Genoa. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side boasts one of the league’s most potent attacks, averaging nearly two goals per game, and have been particularly impressive on the road, scoring an average of 2.17 goals in away fixtures. Their form and attacking prowess make them clear favourites coming into this match.

Injuries and suspensions could play a role. Genoa will be without Alan Matturro, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Jean Onana, Fabio Miretti, Hugo Cuenca, and Caleb Ekuban, all sidelined due to various issues. Atalanta have defensive concerns as well, with Berat Djimsiti, Rafael Toloi, Sead Kolasinac, Giorgio Scalvini, and Juan Cuadrado all either out or doubtful. This could open up the game, especially if Atalanta’s backline is makeshift, but their depth and attacking options should compensate.

Key Players

Genoa:

• Andrea Pinamonti: The leading striker for Genoa this season, Pinamonti has been their primary goal threat, netting 8 times in Serie A and consistently leading the line with physical presence and intelligent movement.
• Morten Frendrup: A tireless midfielder, Frendrup has been crucial for Genoa both defensively and in transition, racking up the most minutes played for the club and contributing with his energy and ball-winning ability.
• Aarón Martín: The Spanish left-back is not only solid defensively but also a key creative outlet, topping the team’s assist charts and providing width and quality deliveries from the flank.

Atalanta:

Marten de Roon: The experienced captain anchors the midfield, providing leadership, tactical discipline, and crucial defensive cover, allowing Atalanta’s more attacking players the freedom to express themselves.

Charles De Ketelaere: Having made a significant impact since his arrival, De Ketelaere is Atalanta’s creative hub, contributing both goals and assists and often dictating play in the final third.

Ademola Lookman: A dynamic forward, Lookman’s pace and directness have made him one of Atalanta’s most dangerous attackers, regularly chipping in with goals and stretching opposition defenses.

Prediction

Given the contrasting form and squad depth, Atalanta are strong favourites to claim all three points. Their attacking firepower, combined with Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities and injury list, suggests a high-scoring affair. Expect Atalanta to dominate possession, press high, and create plenty of chances, while Genoa may look to hit on the break through Retegui. A 2-1 or 3-1 win for Atalanta looks likely, with over 2.5 goals a strong possibility.

Betting Markets & Odds

Atalanta’s superior form, attacking options, and recent head-to-head dominance make them the smart pick, but Genoa’s home record and Retegui’s threat mean the hosts could still play their part in an entertaining contest.