Genoa vs. AC Milan Tips and Odds – 05/05/2025

• Fixture: Genoa vs AC Milan
• Date: Monday, 5 May 2025
• Venue: Luigi Ferraris Stadium, Genoa, Italy

Match Preview

Genoa host AC Milan at the Luigi Ferraris in a crucial Serie A encounter as both teams aim to finish their seasons on a high. Genoa, currently 13th in the table, have struggled for consistency, while Milan, sitting 9th, are eager to secure a European spot and end the campaign with momentum. The Rossoneri enter the fixture as favorites, but the hosts are known for making life difficult at home.

Recent form highlights the contrast between the sides. Genoa have picked up just one win in their last five league matches, suffering defeats to Juventus (0-1), Lazio (0-2), and Como (0-1), with a solitary victory against Udinese (1-0) and a goalless draw at Verona. Their lack of goals and defensive frailties have been evident, conceding four goals in their last five outings while scoring only once. AC Milan, on the other hand, come in with three wins from their last four in all competitions, including impressive away victories over Udinese (4-0) and Venezia (2-0) and a narrow loss to Atalanta (0-1). Their attack has been firing, and their defense has kept three clean sheets in this run.

Injuries and suspensions could play a significant role. Genoa are without several key players: Fabio Miretti is out for the season with a shoulder injury, Alan Matturro and Ruslan Malinovskyi are sidelined with muscle and leg injuries respectively, while Caleb Ekuban, Jean Onana, Hugo Cuenca, and Maxwel Cornet are all doubts due to various fitness issues. Sebastian Otoa is suspended following a red card. Milan are missing Kyle Walker due to a thigh injury, though his absence is not expected to be long-term. The rest of the squad is largely available, giving manager Paulo Fonseca plenty of options.

AC Milan’s attacking depth is a major threat, with Alvaro Morata, Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic, and Tammy Abraham all capable of making a difference. The midfield, anchored by Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and a strong backline led by Fikayo Tomori and Theo Hernandez, provide both creativity and stability. Genoa will rely on the experience of Junior Messias and the physical presence of Andrea Pinamonti up front, but their depleted squad may struggle to match Milan’s quality and intensity.

Key Players

• Genoa: Junior Messias, Andrea Pinamonti, Morten Thorsby
• AC Milan: Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic, Alvaro Morata

Prediction

Given Milan’s superior form, squad depth, and attacking firepower, they are strong favorites to take all three points. Genoa’s injury woes and recent struggles in front of goal make an upset unlikely, though their home advantage could see them put up a fight. Expect Milan to control possession and create more chances, with Genoa looking to hit on the counter. A 2-1 win for AC Milan is a likely outcome.

Betting Markets & Odds

Odds are approximate and subject to change.

Expect a competitive match, but Milan’s quality should ultimately shine through.