Colombia vs. Peru Tips and Odds – 06/06/2025

  • Fixture: Colombia vs Peru – 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifier (CONMEBOL)
  • Date: Friday, 6 June 2025
  • Kick-off: 20:30 UTC (15:30 local time)
  • Venue: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla, Colombia

Match Preview

Colombia welcomes Peru to the Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez for a crucial World Cup qualifier, with both teams desperate for points as the qualifying campaign enters its decisive phase. Colombia currently sits 6th in the table, clinging to a direct qualification spot, while Peru languishes in 9th, five points adrift of the intercontinental playoff place and in need of a dramatic turnaround to keep their World Cup dream alive.

The hosts come into this fixture on the back of a mixed run of form. After reaching the Copa America final last summer, Colombia has struggled to maintain consistency, managing just two wins in their last eight qualifiers. Their most recent results include a 2-1 defeat away to Brazil and a 2-2 home draw against Paraguay, where Luis Díaz starred with a goal and an assist but picked up a costly yellow card that now rules him out of this match through suspension. The absence of Díaz, arguably Colombia’s most dynamic attacking threat, will force coach Néstor Lorenzo to reshuffle his attack, likely placing more creative responsibility on veterans like James Rodríguez and emerging talents such as Jhon Arias and Jhon Durán.

Peru, meanwhile, arrives in Barranquilla after a turbulent campaign. They secured a morale-boosting 3-1 win over Bolivia in March but immediately followed it up with a disappointing 1-0 loss to Venezuela, leaving their qualification hopes hanging by a thread. Under the stewardship of Óscar Ibáñez, Peru has struggled for goals, netting just six times in 13 matches, and their attack has often looked blunt despite the experience of Paolo Guerrero and Gianluca Lapadula. Defensive frailties have also been exposed, with 16 goals conceded, the second-worst record in the group.

Injuries and suspensions will play a significant role in the match’s dynamics. Colombia’s loss of Luis Díaz is a major blow, while there are no fresh injury or suspension concerns reported for Peru, allowing them to field a near full-strength lineup. Both teams will be under pressure: Colombia needs to solidify their top-six standing, while Peru must chase all three points to keep their faint hopes alive.

The heat and humidity of Barranquilla, combined with the raucous home support, make the Estadio Metropolitano a fortress for Colombia. Historically, Peru has struggled in this venue, and with their recent away form offering little encouragement, the odds are stacked against them. However, with qualification on the line, expect a tense, hard-fought encounter where set pieces and moments of individual brilliance could prove decisive.

Key Players

Colombia:

  • James Rodríguez: The creative heartbeat of the team, especially crucial with Díaz suspended.
  • Jhon Arias: In fine form, capable of providing assists and late runs into the box.
  • David Ospina: The veteran goalkeeper’s experience will be vital in organizing a defense that has leaked goals in recent matches.

Peru:

  • Paolo Guerrero: The legendary captain and all-time top scorer, still the focal point of Peru’s attack at 41.
  • Pedro Gallese: The experienced goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep Colombia at bay.
  • Bryan Reyna: Offers pace and directness on the flanks, potentially exploiting any gaps left by Colombia’s attacking fullbacks.

Prediction

Colombia, despite their recent inconsistency and the absence of Luis Díaz, remain favorites at home. Their attacking options and the intimidating Barranquilla atmosphere should prove too much for a Peru side that has struggled for goals and confidence. Expect Colombia to control possession and create more chances, while Peru will likely sit deep and look to counter. A narrow home win looks the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Colombia 2-0 Peru

Betting Markets & Odds

MarketOdds (Fractional)Bet Now
Colombia to Win2/7Bet Now
Draw7/2Bet Now
Peru to Win8/1Bet Now
Both Teams to Score: No8/13Bet Now
Under 2.5 Goals8/13Bet Now
Colombia Clean Sheet10/11Bet Now
James Rodríguez to Score5/2Bet Now

Odds are indicative and subject to change. Please check the linked site for the latest prices.


Expect a passionate contest, but the odds and form point to Colombia taking a big step toward World Cup qualification at home in Barranquilla.

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