Atalanta vs. Roma Tips and Odds – 12/05/2025

• Fixture: Atalanta vs Roma
• Date: Monday, 12 May 2025
• Venue: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy

Match Preview

Atalanta and Roma face off in a high-stakes Serie A clash at the Gewiss Stadium, with both teams still fighting for crucial points in the race for European qualification. Atalanta come into this match sitting 3rd in the table, while Roma are close behind in 5th, making this a pivotal encounter for both sides’ ambitions. The hosts have been in solid form, recently thrashing Monza 4-0 away, and have picked up three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six league outings. Their recent home record against Roma has also been entertaining, with over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last six meetings in Bergamo.

Roma, meanwhile, are enjoying a remarkable run, having won four and drawn two of their last six matches, including a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Fiorentina in their most recent fixture. The Giallorossi have been defensively resolute, keeping four clean sheets in that period, and are unbeaten in their last six league matches. However, this impressive run is threatened by a mounting injury crisis, with key players Paulo Dybala and captain Lorenzo Pellegrini both ruled out for the remainder of the season.

Injuries and suspensions could play a decisive role. Atalanta are missing several important names: Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, Sead Kolasinac, Juan Cuadrado, and Isak Hien are all sidelined. Roma’s absences are arguably even more damaging, with Dybala and Pellegrini joined by Buba Sangaré on the injury list, forcing coach Claudio Ranieri to rely on less experienced options in midfield and attack. Odilon Kossounou, who was a doubt for Atalanta, has recovered and is expected to feature, providing a boost to the home side’s defensive stability.

With both teams boasting strong attacking records-Atalanta averaging 1.96 goals per game and Roma 1.54 per game-this fixture promises excitement, though Roma’s recent matches have tended towards the low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in their last eight league games. Atalanta, conversely, have been involved in higher-scoring affairs at home, and their dynamic front line will look to exploit Roma’s weakened midfield and defense. The tactical battle between Gian Piero Gasperini and Claudio Ranieri will be fascinating: Atalanta’s pressing and fluid attack against Roma’s disciplined, counter-attacking style. Victory for the hosts would see them guarantee Champions League football next season, while a win for the visitors would set up an nail-biting end to the race to qualify for Europe’s premier club competition.

Key Players

Atalanta:

• Mateo Retegui: The league’s top scorer for Atalanta with 27 goals, Retegui’s movement and finishing make him a constant threat.
• Ademola Lookman: With 20 goals this season, Lookman’s pace and dribbling ability can unsettle any defense.
• Charles De Ketelaere: A creative force with 14 goals, capable of unlocking defenses with his vision and technical skill.
• Ederson: A midfield engine who draws fouls and breaks up opposition play, crucial in controlling the tempo.

Roma:

• Artem Dovbyk: Roma’s leading scorer with 17 goals, Dovbyk’s physical presence and aerial ability will be vital, especially with Dybala absent.
• Alexis Saelemaekers: A versatile attacker who can create chances and score, expected to shoulder more responsibility.
• Niccolò Pisilli: Set to replace Pellegrini, Pisilli’s energy and box-to-box play could be key in midfield.
• Leandro Paredes: The experienced Argentine will need to marshal Roma’s midfield and provide creative impetus in the absence of their captain.

Prediction

Given Atalanta’s home advantage, attacking firepower, and Roma’s significant injury woes, the hosts enter as favorites. However, Roma’s recent defensive solidity and ability to grind out results-despite missing key players-should not be underestimated. Expect Atalanta to dominate possession and create more chances, but Roma’s disciplined approach could keep the scoreline tight. A narrow Atalanta win, possibly 2-1, seems the most likely outcome, with both teams likely to find the net.

Betting Markets & Odds

Odds are subject to change. Always check the latest prices before placing your bet.

This clash promises drama and quality, with both teams desperate for points in the Serie A run-in. Atalanta’s attacking flair and Roma’s resilience set the stage for a memorable Monday night in Bergamo.